TY - JOUR ID - 119414 TI - Assessment of mortality risk in Poland due to cold and heat stress JO - Climate Change Research JA - CCR LA - en SN - AU - Błażejczyk, Krzysztof AU - Błażejczyk, Anna AU - Baranowski, Jarosław AU - Kuchcik, Magdalena AD - Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences, Twarda 51/55, 00-818 Warszawa, Poland AD - Bioklimatologia. Laboratory of Bioclimatology and Environmental Ergonomics, Lukowska 17/55, 04-133 Warszawa, Poland Y1 - 2020 PY - 2020 VL - 1 IS - 4 SP - 67 EP - 75 KW - Heat stress KW - Cold stress KW - mortality KW - climate change KW - adaptation DO - 10.30488/ccr.2020.252534.1028 N2 - Cold and heat stress are environmental factors influencing the state of health of individuals and the wider population. There is a large body of research to document significant increases in mortality and morbidity during cold and heat waves in every climate zone. In spite of the well-documented nature of heat/cold-related health problems, only in few countries local or national authorities have developed any special adaptation strategies for their healthcare systems (HCS), with a view to addressing predicted increases in the frequency and severity of cold- and heat-stress events. Such strategies draw on epidemiological and climatological research. For example in Poland in the years 2012-2015 research project pursued to study regional differentiation in climate-related diseases in Poland, with regional-level predictions for their occurrence through to 2100. The results of the project were applied in a national strategy for adaptation to climate change This paper presents key results of the part of this project dealing with heat- and cold related mortality in various regions of Poland. Overall, in the near future a 4-28% increase in the number of days imposing heat stress is anticipated, and may result in heat-related mortality significantly higher by the last decade of the 21st century than in the years 1991-2000 (at a level between 137 and 277%). UR - https://ccr.gu.ac.ir/article_119414.html L1 - https://ccr.gu.ac.ir/article_119414_d06060a4766c868590de8f39eab13d33.pdf ER -